Wednesday, April 23, 2008

The Democratic Party and It's Split Personality

The Democratic Party has an illness of split personality. We have those that believe tradition will see us through and feels safe and a those that believe the past has held us back from getting what we want. These "folks" have been split by education, race, age and gender. It is amazing what a choice between a black man and a white woman could do to an ideology. But the funny thing is I don't think it's about race and gender as much as it is about principles. If you believe that a good hard fight with a some good wounds is okay as long as you win (more work), you vote Clinton. If you believe a good hard fight is getting to the fundamental truth of what's wrong and believe that the more engaged the country is the more things will change (smart work), you are an Obama supporter. This is fundamentally huge differences between A types and B types in personality.

Let's look at this further. These are two extremely different points of view! The opposite if you will. Obama has not brought his message to a simple digestible state for Hillary's experienced fighters to grasp and Hillary hasn't touched the intellect of the educated with her brawling. It's split and only a few will cross over because it is simple personality. I think we will see more of this in the Fall. If Obama wins, the brawlers may find comfort in a military man. If Clinton wins, the intellects will have no where to go and stay home. This doesn't bode well for Democrats.

But if for a moment the brawlers and the intellects could just get together and find the common ground of economic woes, they will see that McCain does not suit their interests. Who can deliver that message best?

Now for reality meets myth.

Myth: Why can't Obama knock her out?

Fact: Why can't Clinton knock him out? The previous question is always asked as if there is something wrong with Obama. As if there is this expectation of perfection. When did coming from NO WHERE become so trivial! Clinton is losing!!! Losing! There is no pleasant way for her to win. Trust me if Obama was broke, behind in every concievable aspect of how to win the nomination with out the Superdelegates, he would not still be in the race! Clinton has failed. She represents the party establishment and couldn't hold off a rooky with a funny name from taking 11 states in a row that pushed his lead to a sizable gap that she can not overcome. HER FAULT! In fighting, no money, negativity is all created by her campaign. The only way for her to win is to convince superdelegates that he is unelectable. The only way she can do that is by trying to make him unelectable. The only way she can do that is by wrecking his creditbility as a new kind of politics. She should not conceed the race, and nor should Obama. But she is not doing anything bigger or better than he is either...except dragging the party into a not so good place to start the fight for the Fall.

Here is some juicy info on why Obama is ahead so far. He has won 15 contests above 60 points! Clinton has won 1. Obama's overall points average to 54 and Clintons is 41. He is on average beating her by 13 points! This is why he is ahead.

Let me repeat. Out of the 30 states of 45 Obama has won, he has won 15 of them with more than 20 points! This is amazing considering he is a rooky with a funny name and "association" baggage. He is winning. More people want Obama! She should have blown out PA since that is like his HI (He won 76 to 24). The same for NY. she won 57 to 40. Where in IL he won 65 to 33. These are things to compare. How do the people that know you vote? I won't even mention Kansas and Arkansas. Okay I will. His spread was 48 to her 44. The largest spread of this run for office has been 80 to 17 in Idaho for Obama. WOW!!!

Have faith my fellow Obama supports. This will be over soon. Change is wanted and Obama is that change.

1 comment:

Sean McLeod said...

I thinks this is a spot on analysis, Sis! Each group of constituents has pretty much stuck by their candidate. Leads me to conclude that there is no conclusion to this without going to the convention unfortunately. At the end of all the primaries, Obama will be ahead and then Clinton will switch gears and start fighting to seat Florida and/or Michigan.